Raiders vs Dolphins
Round 12 2026, Thursday 21 May 2026
Verdict: Dolphins by 1
RaidersDolphins
Result: Dolphins 30 defeated Raiders 22 ✓ Tip correct
Match facts
- Kick-off
- Thu 21 May, 7:50pm AEST
- Venue
- GIO Stadium, Canberra
- Ladder going in
- Raiders 12th, Dolphins 8th
- Referee
- Todd Smith
- Crowd
- 9,543
- Weather
- Fine, slippery ground
How the experts tipped
| Expert | Tip | Tip correct |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Baker | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Chris Barrett | Raiders | ✗ |
| Zoe Samios | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Zac Bailey | Raiders | ✗ |
| Frances Howe | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Christian Nicolussi | Raiders | ✗ |
| Billie Eder | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Adrian Proszenko | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Dan Walsh | Raiders | ✗ |
| Andrew Johns | Dolphins | ✓ |
| Emma Kemp | Raiders | ✗ |
| Neil Breen | Raiders | ✗ |
Going in
| Club | Ladder going in | Last five, oldest first | Model rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders | 12th | WWLWL | -2.3 |
| Dolphins | 8th | LLWWW | +3.3 |
Last five games
Raiders
| Round | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Round 10 | v Panthers | L 18–30 |
| Round 9 | at Titans | W 28–12 |
| Round 8 | at Wests Tigers | L 14–33 |
| Round 7 | v Storm | W 26–22 |
| Round 6 | at Rabbitohs | W 36–34 |
Dolphins
| Round | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Round 11 | at Rabbitohs | W 32–10 |
| Round 10 | v Bulldogs | W 44–12 |
| Round 9 | v Storm | W 28–10 |
| Round 8 | at Warriors | L 18–20 |
| Round 7 | v Panthers | L 22–23 |
Head to head since 2024
| Season | Round | Game | Score | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Round 27 | Dolphins v Raiders | 62–24 | Kayo Stadium |
| 2025 | Round 8 | Raiders v Dolphins | 40–28 | GIO Stadium |
| 2024 | Round 13 | Dolphins v Raiders | 25–26 | Kayo Stadium |
Team lists
Raiders
- 1 Kaeo Weekes Fullback
- 2 Savelio Tamale Winger
- 4 Matthew Timoko Centre
- 5 Xavier Savage Winger
- 6 Daine Laurie Five-Eighth
- 7 Ethan Sanders Halfback
- 8 Corey Horsburgh Prop
- 9 Tom Starling Interchange
- 10 Joseph Tapine (c) Prop
- 11 Ata Mariota 2nd Row
- 12 Zac Hosking 2nd Row
- 13 Jayden Brailey Lock
- 14 Owen Pattie Hooker
- 15 Jordan Uta Interchange
- 16 Morgan Smithies Interchange
- 17 Jed Stuart Centre
- 18 Chevy Stewart Interchange
- 19 Jake Clydsdale Reserve
- 20 Coby Black Reserve
Coach: Ricky Stuart
In Jordan Uta, Xavier Savage, Zac Hosking
Out Ethan Strange, Hudson Young, Sebastian Kris, Simi Sasagi
Dolphins
- 1 Trai Fuller Fullback
- 2 Jamayne Isaako Winger
- 3 Jack Bostock Centre
- 5 Tevita Naufahu Winger
- 6 Bradley Schneider Five-Eighth
- 7 Isaiya Katoa (c) Halfback
- 8 Felise Kaufusi Prop
- 9 Jeremy Marshall-King Hooker
- 10 Francis Molo Prop
- 11 Connelly Lemuelu 2nd Row
- 12 Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 2nd Row
- 13 Morgan Knowles Lock
- 14 Kurt Donoghoe Interchange
- 15 Ray Stone Interchange
- 16 Tom Gilbert (c) Interchange
- 17 Oryn Keeley Interchange
- 18 Brian Pouniu Centre
- 19 Lewis Symonds Reserve
- 20 John Fineanganofo Reserve
Coach: Kristian Woolf
In Bradley Schneider, Francis Molo, Kurt Donoghoe, Oryn Keeley, Tevita Naufahu, Trai Fuller
Out Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, Herbie Farnworth, Kodi Nikorima, Max Plath, Selwyn Cobbo, Thomas Flegler
Numbers as named by each club on nrl.com. Changes are measured against the club's previous game.
Why the model leaned this way
Going in, Raiders rated -2.3 and Dolphins +3.3 on our scale, a gap of 5.6 points, plus 4.5 points for playing at their own ground.
Scoring
- Raiders
- Tries Jed Stuart 1', Corey Horsburgh 14', Savelio Tamale 38', Zac Hosking 65'
- Goals 3/4
- Half-time 16
- Dolphins
- Tries Tevita Naufahu 9', Morgan Knowles 20', Jamayne Isaako 23', Ray Stone 32', Bradley Schneider 69'
- Goals 4/5, pen Jamayne Isaako 44'
- Half-time 22
Draw, teams and scoring: nrl.com match centre. Expert tips: The Sydney Morning Herald panel.