NRL Round 1 Tips

From Sunday 1 March through Sunday 8 March 2026. Our model got 3 of 8 right this round.

Each game

Kick-offGameWin chanceOur tipExpertsResult
Sun 1 Mar 1:15pm AEDTKnights v CowboysAllegiant StadiumCowboys by 528–18 ✗
Sun 1 Mar 3:30pm AEDTBulldogs v DragonsAllegiant StadiumBulldogs by 415–14 ✓
Thu 5 Mar 8:00pm AEDTStorm v EelsAAMI ParkStorm by 852–4 ✓
Fri 6 Mar 6:00pm AEDTWarriors v RoostersGo Media StadiumToo close to split42–18 ✗
Fri 6 Mar 8:00pm AEDTBroncos v PanthersSuncorp StadiumBroncos by 40–26 ✗
Sat 7 Mar 5:30pm AEDTSharks v TitansOcean Protect StadiumSharks by 1150–10 ✓
Sat 7 Mar 7:35pm AEDTSea Eagles v Raiders4 Pines ParkSea Eagles by 428–29 ✗
Sun 8 Mar 4:05pm AEDTDolphins v RabbitohsSuncorp StadiumDolphins by 830–40 ✗

Wests Tigers have a bye.

Calls from the panel

TipsterKnights v CowboysBulldogs v DragonsStorm v EelsWarriors v RoostersBroncos v PanthersSharks v TitansSea Eagles v RaidersDolphins v RabbitohsRound
Jordan BakerCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksRaidersRabbitohs5/8
Chris BarrettKnightsBulldogsEelsRoostersBroncosSharksSea EaglesRabbitohs4/8
Zoe SamiosCowboysDragonsStormRoostersBroncosSharksRaidersRabbitohs4/8
Zac BaileyCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksSea EaglesRabbitohs4/8
Frances HoweCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksRaidersRabbitohs5/8
Christian NicolussiCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersPanthersSharksSea EaglesDolphins4/8
Billie EderKnightsBulldogsStormRoostersPanthersSharksSea EaglesDolphins5/8
Adrian ProszenkoCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksRaidersDolphins4/8
Dan WalshCowboysBulldogsEelsRoostersPanthersSharksRaidersDolphins4/8
Andrew JohnsCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksSea EaglesDolphins3/8
Emma KempCowboysBulldogsEelsWarriorsPanthersSharksRaidersDolphins5/8
Neil BreenCowboysBulldogsStormRoostersBroncosSharksRaidersDolphins4/8
Our modelCowboys 5Bulldogs 4Storm 8Roosters 0Broncos 4Sharks 11Sea Eagles 4Dolphins 83/8
Panel split17–8392–875–258–9267–33100–042–5858–42

Because The Herald publishes only the winner even though it asks its tipsters for a margin, the margins here come from our model.