NRL Ladder
The Panthers topped the 2026 ladder, and the Roosters won the Grand Final.
The final 2026 ladder
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | Byes | Diff | Pts | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +336 | 42 | 10 - 2 | 8 - 4 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +310 | 42 | 10 - 2 | 8 - 4 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +156 | 40 | 8 - 4 | 9 - 3 |
| 4 | Sydney Roosters | 24 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +118 | 38 | 8 - 4 | 8 - 4 |
| 5 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +149 | 34 | 8 - 4 | 6 - 6 |
| 6 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +113 | 34 | 9 - 3 | 5 - 7 |
| 7 | Newcastle Knights | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +42 | 34 | 8 - 4 | 6 - 6 |
| 8 | North Queensland Cowboys | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -84 | 32 | 7 - 5 | 6 - 6 |
| 9 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +99 | 28 | 6 - 6 | 5 - 7 |
| 10 | Melbourne Storm | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +18 | 28 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 8 |
| 11 | Canberra Raiders | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 3 | -45 | 28 | 5 - 7 | 6 - 6 |
| 12 | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 3 | -60 | 28 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 8 |
| 13 | Parramatta Eels | 24 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 3 | -181 | 24 | 6 - 6 | 3 - 9 |
| 14 | Brisbane Broncos | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 3 | -206 | 22 | 2 - 10 | 6 - 6 |
| 15 | Wests Tigers | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 3 | -254 | 22 | 5 - 7 | 3 - 9 |
| 16 | Gold Coast Titans | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 3 | -186 | 18 | 3 - 9 | 3 - 9 |
| 17 | St George Illawarra Dragons | 24 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 3 | -325 | 16 | 3 - 9 | 2 - 10 |
The top eight sides played in the finals. Ladder: nrl.com.
the predicted 2027 ladder
A start rating counts how many points better or worse a club is than the average NRL side, measured at a neutral ground. It carries over from 2026 and shrinks towards average. The chances are based on 10,000 simulated seasons.
| # | Club | Start rating | Wins | Top 8 | Top 4 | Grand Final | Premiers | Spoon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | +4.3 | 14.3 | 70% | 43% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | +4.3 | 14.2 | 69% | 42% | 23% | 12% | 1% |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | +3.7 | 14.0 | 67% | 40% | 21% | 11% | 1% |
| 4 | Dolphins | +2.7 | 13.5 | 61% | 34% | 18% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | +1.5 | 12.9 | 55% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 3% |
| 6 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | +1.5 | 12.8 | 54% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 3% |
| 7 | Newcastle Knights | +1.3 | 12.8 | 54% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
| 8 | Melbourne Storm | +1.3 | 12.8 | 53% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| 9 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | +1 | 12.6 | 50% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
| 10 | Canberra Raiders | +0.1 | 12.2 | 46% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| 11 | Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | -0.5 | 11.8 | 41% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 5% |
| 12 | Parramatta Eels | -1.9 | 11.2 | 34% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 6% |
| 13 | North Queensland Cowboys | -2.4 | 11.0 | 32% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
| 14 | Brisbane Broncos | -2.8 | 10.7 | 30% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
| 15 | Gold Coast Titans | -3.5 | 10.4 | 26% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 10% |
| 16 | Perth Bears | -4.3 | 10.0 | 22% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
| 17 | St George Illawarra Dragons | -5.4 | 9.5 | 18% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 15% |
| 18 | Wests Tigers | -5.5 | 9.4 | 18% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
we ran 10,000 simulated seasons using our starting ratings. The Penrith Panthers come first for flag chances at 13%. No club starts with odds better than 1 in 8.
Until the NRL publishes the 2027 draw, every club plays every other club once, then adds return games so it plays 24 games, the 2026 load. Each run picks home grounds at random.
The spread between start and finish ratings in 2026 (5.3 points) shifts each club's start rating up or down in every run, so the chances stay wide.
The Perth Bears haven't played any NRL games, so they begin where the bottom four clubs average out (-4.3).